Rising Heat Extremes: Pakistan’s Heatwave Outlook for 2030 and 2050

2030s 2050s
Reference Period: 1901-2021 Very Hot Days: Above 35°C
Region Days Days Increase % age Days Increase % age
Pakistan 114.09 123.56 8.3 135.08 9.32
Balochistan 112.22 124.81 11.22 138.51 10.98
Federal Capital Territory 39.2 45.29 15.54 55.66 22.9
Khyber Pakhtunkhwa 33.75 39.1 15.85 45.62 16.68
Punjab 146.24 154.13 5.4 166.73 8.17
Sindh 187.27 198.89 6.2 212.57 6.88
Extremely Hot Days: Above 40°C
Pakistan 40.38 48.26 19.51 58.47 21.16
Balochistan 34.76 44.83 28.97 56.34 25.67
Federal Capital Territory 4.66 6.78 45.49 11.18 64.9
Khyber Pakhtunkhwa 9.36 11.34 21.15 14.36 26.63
Punjab 58.66 66.49 13.35 78.26 17.7
Sindh 70.59 81.32 15.2 96.31 18.43
Source: Climate Change and Vulnerability Assessment 
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